Some experts say AI will change a little of our work, while others warn of big job losses. See what Mark Cuban, Microsoft's AI chief, and new data say about AI and jobs.
Will a robot take my job? It is one of the biggest questions people ask about AI. The honest answer is that experts do not agree. This week, two new stories show how different the opinions can be.
Two Very Different Views on AI and Jobs
Windows Latest reports that Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman shared a forecast from Nobel Prize-winning economist Daron Acemoglu. It says only about 5% of human work will be replaced by AI in 10 years. Suleyman called the fear around job losses “overblown.”
On the other side, the same story notes that Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei warned in January that AI could disrupt half of entry-level white-collar jobs within one to five years. (White-collar jobs are office jobs.) The story also points out that a company could need fewer workers even if AI cannot do any one person’s whole job. So a small number like 5% does not mean everyone else is safe.
Is AI the Real Reason for Layoffs?
Fortune reports that AI is the top reason companies have given for layoffs this year. It shows up in 21% of layoff announcements so far, according to the firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. But billionaire Mark Cuban says AI may be getting too much of the blame. He wrote that health care costs may cost more people their jobs, and that it is “far easier to blame AI” than to blame those costs.
Fortune adds that researchers at the Budget Lab at Yale have not found clear signs that AI has shaken up the whole job market yet. And a McKinsey study says about 11 million workers, or 7% of the workforce, may have to find new jobs as some jobs shrink. McKinsey also says AI and other changes could end up creating more jobs than they remove.
How Do Workers Feel?
Windows Latest also cites a Pew Research survey. It found that 52% of U.S. workers are worried about how AI will affect their workplace in the future. Worry like this can change how people spend and save money, too.
What Can You Do?
Nobody can predict the future, but one clue comes from Fox Business. It reported on Gallup data showing that workers who never use AI may be more likely to be laid off than people who use it regularly. Only 1% of laid-off workers said AI or automation was the main reason for their layoff, though.
A smart step is to try AI tools, learn what they do well, and keep building skills that matter in any job, like teamwork, kindness, and creative thinking. That way, you are ready for change, whichever expert turns out to be right.
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